Why fishermen and fisheries managers refuse to accept collapse of fisheries is not all about them!

Fewer Fish

For too long, the story of our collapsing fisheries has been told through a narrow and divisive lens.

Fishermen often see themselves as stewards of the sea, while fisheries managers see themselves as protectors through regulation. Both roles rely on a belief that their actions—harvesting or managing—are in balance with nature. But it gets worse, the public often see the fishermen as insatiable predators or pirates, and simultaneously see the fisheries managers as baffle-gabbing bureaucrats or self aggrandizing police.

When the fish disappear, we are told to look for culprits: overfishing, poor management, or illegal poachers. Fishermen point fingers at fisheries managers. Managers point back at fishermen. Environmentalists call for more restrictions. Governments commission more stock assessments. And the ocean continues to grow more silent.

But what if the true cause is neither human greed nor incompetence?

What if our oceans are no longer failing only because of what we’ve taken from them… but more importantly because of what we’ve failed to give back?

This is the uncomfortable truth that too many have resisted: the oceans have become deserts, and the collapse of fish populations is not primarily a result of overfishing or mismanagement—it is the ecological consequence of vanishing ocean pastures.

And yet, despite clear and mounting evidence, many fishermen, fisheries scientists, and regulators still resist this reality. Why?

The Land Knows What the Sea Forgets

Ask any rancher what happens when a pasture turns to dust. The livestock go hungry. We don’t blame the cows for starving. We don’t arrest the rancher for mismanaging. We see the problem for what it is: the land has gone barren.

In the ocean, we’ve forgotten this basic ecological truth. Fish are the livestock of the sea. They graze on microscopic pastures of phytoplankton, the green plants of the ocean, that bloom across vast blue prairies. But these ocean pastures—like their terrestrial cousins—require nutrients to thrive. Chief among them is iron, the tiniest trace mineral, blown from the deserts of Asia or upwelled from the deep by winter storms and sea ice.

Without vital mineral iron-rich dust, there is no pasture. Without pasture, there are no fish.

Since the 1950s, the primary source of iron to the North Pacific—the windblown dust of Central Asia—has fallen by more than 80%, as satellite and geological data now confirm. At the same time, ocean primary productivity has declined, and fish have withered in size and number. The evidence is overwhelming.

Why Are So Many Resisting the Truth About Ocean Pasture Collapse?

You might think that fishermen and fisheries managers, faced with the collapse of the very system they’ve sworn to steward, would leap at the chance to embrace the idea of ocean restoration. The science shows that replenishing ocean pastures with nature’s missing dust works. In 2012, we proved this off the coast of British Columbia in a project led with Indigenous partners: fish came roaring back. The largest salmon returns in history were recorded in the months that followed. The sea responded almost immediately to having its pastures restored.

And yet, opposition to this concept persists. Why?

1. The Pain of Admitting It Wasn’t Your Fault

Fishermen have spent decades adapting to new quotas, new gear, new rules—all in the belief that responsible fishing would save the stocks. Fisheries managers have built careers around elaborate models of sustainable yield and biomass estimates. To now admit that none of this was ever enough, because the productivity of the ocean itself has collapsed, is not just humbling—it is shattering.

But it shouldn’t be. It’s liberating.

2. The Danger of Losing Control

Science has always thrived in silos. Fisheries science is one of the most highly siloed of all, relying on its own models, assumptions, and regulatory philosophies. Introducing a new paradigm—one that requires collaboration with atmospheric chemists, ocean ecologists, and climate physicists—is perceived as a threat. A threat to control. A threat to expertise.

But the ocean doesn’t care whose model you use.

3. The Search for a Villain

Human beings are storytellers. And every good story needs a villain. In the current narrative, that villain is usually greedy fishermen, careless regulators, or foreign trawlers. But what if there is no villain?

Ocean pasture collapse is not an act of evil. It is the slow, silent erasure of vitality due to environmental change. It’s hard to rally around. It doesn’t make for a great headline. It doesn’t fit our need for justice.

The Path Forward: From Collapse to Restoration

Here’s the good news: we are not helpless. Just as ranchers reseed and water their pastures, we can restore the ocean’s productivity. The science of ocean pasture restoration is no longer speculative. It’s proven.

By restoring missing iron through carefully controlled, nature-mimicking replenishment, we can stimulate vast blooms of phytoplankton. These blooms feed the entire marine food web. They draw down carbon. They cool the planet. And they bring back the fish.

The 2012 project off Haida Gwaii, conducted in partnership with Indigenous communities and with comprehensive satellite and ecosystem monitoring, resulted in:

  • 100x increase in local phytoplankton density
  • Explosive growth of zooplankton and forage fish
  • Record-setting salmon returns across the North Pacific the following year

All from restoring less than 100 tonnes of natural mineral dust—an amount comparable to one truckload of material—over an area the size of a small county.

This is not geoengineering. This is ecological caregiving on behalf of the ocean pastures that feed us all.

Why Fishermen Should Be Leading This Revolution

Let’s be clear: this work will not succeed without fishermen. You know the ocean better than any academic or policy analyst. You’ve watched the seas go quiet. You’ve seen the fish get smaller. You know something deeper is wrong.

Now you have the opportunity to be the heroes of a new story. Not just survivors of a broken system, but stewards of a restored ocean. Imagine participating in ocean pasture restoration, watching life return to the water you work. Imagine catching bigger, healthier fish again—not because you fished less, but because the ocean was once again alive.

Why Managers and Politicians Must Embrace This

To the regulators and public officials reading this: your mandate is not just to prevent harm. It is to ensure abundance. To steward the common wealth of the ocean.

You now have the science, the precedent, and the public support to act. Ocean pasture restoration is cost-effective, scalable, and rapidly deployable. The price of inaction is collapse. The reward of action is recovery.

Time to Rewrite the Story

We don’t need more studies to prove that the fish are gone.

We don’t need another round of blame games.

What we need is courage. Courage to embrace a new understanding of ocean collapse. Courage to take action not rooted in punishment, but in restoration. Courage to admit that the ocean has been asking for help—and that we now have the tools to answer.

The story of ocean collapse doesn’t have to end in tragedy.

With your leadership, it can become a story of revival, resilience, and return.

🙏 Join Us

To the fishermen: Join us in becoming the new caretakers of the ocean pastures.

To the managers: Collaborate with us to rebuild not just stocks, but entire ecosystems.

To the public and politicians: Demand that we stop arguing over the past, and start restoring the future.

Let’s stop blaming. Let’s start restoring.

Click to read more on this in this parallel story, https://russgeorge.net/?p=21715&preview=true 

When the Ocean Turned Against the Crabs

Bering Sea Crab Mystery

How Alaska NOAA Head Dr. Robert Foy’s Warning Became a Grim Reality

Spoiler Alert: We Can Bring Back The Crabs!

🌊 Introduction

In the frigid, storm-lashed waters of the Bering Sea, snow and king crabs once supported one of the most productive and valuable fisheries on Earth. For generations, these creatures thrived in a delicate balance of cold temperatures, rich nutrients, and healthy ocean ecosystems.

But beneath the surface, subtle shifts were already unraveling that balance—long before anyone could see the collapse coming.


🔬 The Science Was Clear—And Ignored

“In lower pH environments, juvenile crabs experienced stunted growth, reduced survival, and impaired physiology.” — NOAA Laboratory Findings, early 2010s

More than a decade ago, Dr. Robert Foy and his team at NOAA began sounding the alarm. Their masterful experiments showed without question that ocean acidification—caused by the ocean’s absorption of rising atmospheric CO₂—was disrupting crab development at the most vulnerable stages of life. Blue and red king crab larvae showed poor survival in these ever so slightly more acidic waters.

These findings were not speculative. By the early 2010s, Foy’s team warned that the Bering Sea could begin tipping into crisis by the 2020s.

And then it did.

Between 2018 and 2021, the snow crab population plummeted by over 80%, decreasing from 11.7 billion to 1.9 billion crabs. This sharp decline was primarily attributed to a marine heatwave in 2018–2019, which led to habitat loss, increased metabolic stress, and starvation among the crabs.

2021–2022: Economic Impact Intensifies

In 2021, snow crab numbers crashed—more than a billion crabs simply vanished. The Alaska Department of Fish and Game took the unprecedented step of closing the snow crab fishery for the 2022 season.

The 2021–2022 season had seen a 47% decrease in the value of crab harvested under the Crab Rationalization Program, amounting to a loss of $102.4 million. This downturn was mainly due to significant reductions in the total allowable catch for both Bering Sea snow crab and Bristol Bay red king crab fisheries.Sustainable Fisheries UW+2NOAA Fisheries+2Alaska Beacon+2

2022–2023: Unprecedented Fishery Closures

In a historic move, Alaska canceled the snow crab season for the first time ever in 2022–2023, following an 87% drop in population from 8 billion in 2018 to 1 billion in 2021. The red king crab fishery also remained closed for the second consecutive year. These closures resulted in a 100% revenue loss for the snow crab fishery, equating to approximately $133 million in ex-vessel value and $171 million in wholesale revenue.


🧊 A Fishery Vanishes But It Was No Mystery

The headlines focused on warming seas and marine heatwaves—but scientists quietly pointed to acidification as an invisible, but no less deadly, co-driver.


🌱 Plankton: The Ocean’s First Line of Defense

“The collapse of crab populations wasn’t just a simple chemical reaction; it was a cascading failure of the ocean’s ecological foundation.”

Ocean acidification is more than a chemical issue—it’s an ecological systems crisis. And the system starts with plankton.

Phytoplankton, the tiny photosynthetic organisms that fuel the entire marine food web, also regulate carbon. Healthy plankton pastures remove CO₂ from both water and air, helping maintain ocean pH. But warming, pollution, and loss of nutrients are killing these critical plankton blooms.

Without these vibrant pastures, the ocean loses its ability to resist acidification—and marine life from crabs to whales feels the effect.


🤫 What Happened to Dr. Foy’s Message?

Ironically, today Dr. Robert Foy is the Director of NOAA’s Alaska Fisheries Science Center. But his public statements no longer feature his landmark work on acidification and crabs and his near perfect prophecy of their doom.

Instead, NOAA’s narrative has shifted to a vague “climate change” ocean “warm blob” explanation, obscuring the clear, testable cause-and-effect chain that Foy once helped reveal. When scientist Foy let the data do the talking the doomsday scenario the crabs face is clear, when bureaucrat boss Foy does the talking its a different story.

“Blaming climate change in general avoids responsibility. Restoring ocean biology—especially plankton pastures—is our last and best defense.”


🌍 The Science Is In: We Have the Knowledge and the Means to Restore Ocean Pastures Now

“Like turning off a nutrient tap, the slowing dust storms of the late 20th century left entire ocean basins gasping for vital iron.” — Martinez-Garcia, Nature (2011)

The catastrophic collapse of the Bering Sea’s crab populations wasn’t just a coincidence of warming waters and “climate change.” It was the predictable result of a decades-long decline in vital aeolian (wind-blown) dust—and with it, the loss of iron that once nourished the North Pacific’s ocean pastures.

Read this post  “Understanding the cause of ocean and fisheries collapse” https://opralaska.com/?p=526

Ocean Pasture Restoration Now

We simply cannot do any form of chemistry to neutralize oceans growing acidic content, there are not the billions of tons of  antacid tums tablets to cure Mother Oceans heartburn,  similarly we simply cannot staunch the flow of humanities fossil-fueled CO2 into the air and ocean in the immediate time frame that the dying acidic ocean needs YESTERDAY!

What we can do using proven nature-based methods, immediately replenish and restore the vital ocean pastures and in doing so restore the natural health, abundance, and resiliance of our Bering Sea ocean pastures.

Starting in the 1950s and accelerating through the 1960s, Asian dust storms declined by over 80%, driven largely by rising atmospheric CO₂ fertilizing grasslands in China and Central Asia. With more grass came less dust. And with less dust came starving plankton, collapsing fish stocks, and ocean deserts where once there were life-rich seas.

“Sardines didn’t vanish because we fished too hard—they vanished because we didn’t notice their pasture was dying beneath them.” — Chavez, Progress in Oceanography (2003)

For more than 35 years, hundreds of millions of dollars have been invested in public and private ocean iron replenishment research, including major field trials from the U.S., Japan, Canada, Germany, the EU, and independent organizations. These studies have proven again and again that replenishing just a few tonnes of iron-rich dust can restore plankton blooms across tens of thousands of square kilometers of ocean, reviving the marine food web from the bottom up.

This is not speculative science—it’s tested, measurable, and ready for deployment. And most importantly, it is nature-based. We aren’t inventing something new—we’re simply restoring the natural mineral cycle that human activity interrupted.

By reintroducing trace mineral dust into these barren ocean regions, we can immediately restore the plankton pastures that once supported massive populations of crabs, salmon, cod, sardines, and the seabirds and whales that fed on them.

Ocean pasture restoration is the most practical, fast-acting, and scalable tool we have to reverse marine ecosystem collapse and remove legacy atmospheric CO₂.


🐟 The Failure of Maximum Sustainable Yield (MSY) and the Need for Ocean Pasture Management

Historically, fisheries management has focused on maximum allowable catch, relying on the flawed model of Maximum Sustainable Yield (MSY). This approach fails to consider the declining productivity of ocean ecosystems and has led to devastating overharvesting even as marine habitats wither.

“Managing fisheries without managing their pastures is like raising cattle while ignoring the grasslands.” — Ware & Thomson, Science (2005)

Today, as multiple fisheries collapse, we must replace MSY with Ecosystem-Based Fisheries Management (EBFM)—a model that prioritizes the health of the ocean pastures themselves.

By restoring ocean productivity through nature-based iron replenishment, we can rebuild marine food webs, sustain biodiversity, and ensure long-term resilience. This approach mirrors successful terrestrial pasture management, which focuses not on maximum extraction but on maintaining the carrying capacity of the land.

It’s time ocean management caught up.


✅ What Must Be Done – WE CAN BRING BACK THE CRABS

  • Declare an Ocean and Fisheries Emergency at local, state, and national levels so that we can respond to this true emergency with redirection of existing resources immediately and not via some endless legislative and academic debating exercise in moving through a quagmire.  Read more on this emergency at this link https://opralaska.com/?p=504
  • Restore plankton pastures through proven targeted replenishment of Mother Nature’s missing mineral dust
  • Recognize ocean acidification and dust decline  as a primary, reversible drivers of marine collapse
  • Move beyond MSY toward full ecosystem and habitat-based marine management
  • Deploy ready-to-scale ocean iron replenishment, proven over decades of international study

📚 References & Further Reading

  • Hurst, T.P. et al. (2012). Effects of ocean acidification on juvenile red king and Tanner crab. PLOS ONE.
  • Martin, J.H. (1990). Glacial-interglacial CO₂ change: The iron hypothesis. Paleoceanography.
  • Martinez-Garcia et al. (2011). Dust-climate coupling in glacial North Pacific. Nature.
  • Boyd et al. (2007). Mesoscale Iron Enrichment Experiments. Science.
  • Moore et al. (2013). Natural iron fertilization is not enough. Nature Geoscience.
  • Chavez et al. (2003). Sardine collapse and the plankton connection. Progress in Oceanography.
  • George, R. (2014). Pacific Carbon Restoration.
  • KMXT.org (2024). Alaska organization wants to renew ocean pastures

📣 Share This Post

“It’s not just about emissions—it’s about the missing plankton, the unraveling food web, and the silent acidification of the seas.”

Use hashtags:
#OceanRestoration #CrabCollapse #PlanktonPastures #BringBackTheCrabs #NatureBasedSolutions #DustMatters

Kodiak KMXT Radio Report On Ocean Restoration

Reviving Alaska’s Ocean Pastures: A Bold Step Toward Marine Restoration

Ocean Pasture Restoration (OPR) Alaska is spearheading a pioneering initiative aimed at rejuvenating marine ecosystems in the Gulf of Alaska. Set to commence in 2025, this three-year pilot project focuses on enhancing phytoplankton production—the foundational element of oceanic food webs.

The strategy involves the careful introduction of iron-rich mineral dust into specific ocean regions. This method is designed to stimulate phytoplankton growth, thereby supporting the broader marine food chain. The concept draws inspiration from the work of oceanographer John Martin, who emphasized the critical role of iron in phytoplankton proliferation.

Rob Lindsey, a seasoned commercial fisherman from Kodiak, and Ted Crookston, a member of OPR’s Fisheries Advisory Board, are leading advocates for the project. They express concerns about the sustainability of commercial fishing, particularly for species like king salmon, if proactive measures aren’t taken. Their vision includes establishing Kodiak as the central hub for operations, potentially extending efforts down to the Canadian border and into the Bering Sea.

OPR Alaska has previously experimented with this approach, notably in 2012, observing anecdotal increases in salmon returns in subsequent years. However, the organization acknowledges the need for more comprehensive data and is seeking support from state legislators to ensure transparency and engagement.

For a detailed account of this initiative, refer to the original article by Davis Hovey on KMXThttps://www.kmxt.org/news/2024-12-02/alaska-organization-wants-to-renew-ocean-pastures-and-boost-production-of-phytoplankton 

Stay tuned to OPRAlaska.com for ongoing updates on this significant endeavor to restore Alaska’s ocean pastures and bolster marine life.